Sunday 28 September 2014

Suzanne Evans UKIP vice chair shows UKIP is just a Farage cult

Suzanne Evans is one of Farage's Johny come latelys to the UKIP party. She ticks all Nigel's boxes, former Tory, very flexible views and will jump sumersaults if Nigel whistles. Look at this effort:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ShQlPVHkV4

She outdrives Lewis Hamilton when it comes to U turns but Farage still remains in pole position on U turning, see

http://blogs.channel4.com/michael-crick-on-politics/tories-hijack-reckless-farage-event-rochester/4425

The old lags who have survived by only knowing the two words, "Yes Nigel" are no better. I gather Jill Seymour UKIP's very own chocolate teapot has been giving speeches on HS2. I wonder who wrote it?

Reckless by name, reckless by nature. I cannot believe a politician of his experience believes a word Nigel Farage says to the extent of giving up a safe Tory seat. I knew within two minutes of meeting Farage that he was not a man to trust in any political circumstances whatsoever. The way he regularly disowns UKIP members in media interviews speaks volumes. Sooner or later the media will catch on to this.standard Farage tactic.

Play this C4 clip for a laugh

http://blogs.channel4.com/michael-crick-on-politics/tories-hijack-reckless-farage-event-rochester/4425

I gather Tim Congdon is not standing again as UKIP PPC for Forest of Dean because of his involvement with on shore wind farms. Would that UKIP's belted Earl and Old Etonian showed similar standards of behaviour vis a vis on shore wind farming.

Vote Farage in Thannet!

Saturday 27 September 2014

Tory Reckless defects to UKIP

Rochester & Strood, Tory majority almost 10000, MP Reckless has resigned forcing another by-election. This may not be the last Tory defection before Xmas.  The Tories are starting to split. They have had enough of Cameron whom they perceive as a closet LibDem.

Things are going UKIP's way or are they? Tory defectors won't help UKIP capture Labour seats in 2015 in fact they will be a big turn off for Labour voters up North. The real danger to Labour is the SNP in Scotland. If Labour can hold on in Scotland then they are home and hosed and Ed can stop talking to strange people on Hampstead Heath. A 10% share of the vote for UKIP in England will dish the Tories and even if Labour lose half their seats in Scotland they will still have a majority given the LibDems are disintegrating and their voters will largely go to Labour.

Wheeler puts UKIP at 8 to 10 seats and Bown puts UKIP at  5 to 10 seats. Ed can live quite comfortably with that. 10 UKIP MPs are not a problem. It will leave Farage if he wins Thanet South isolated from the EU dosh in Westminster, powerless and exposed to UK media scrutiny.

The coming October by elections in Clacton and Heywood will be very interesting.

Support Farage in Thanet!

Thursday 25 September 2014

Farage is delusional

Tomorrow UKIP hits the big time. Hours of coverage of their party conference on BBC2 starting at 10:00 am something Farage has dreamed about but still he is not happy. He is accusing Cameron of scheduling his Iraq war debate to steal UKIP's conference publicity. Farage is barking. Yesterday there was an all day debate in the UN with Obama and all the big noises participating. Cameron and the FCO want to keep their place at the top table just like in the Buller so have to be seen to be doing something. Parliament has to be recalled. They remember being bounced into expensive bloody wars by warmonger Blair. Farage would be well advised to shut up and act patriotic. Its bad luck for UKIP but nothing will be gained by complaining. Tomorrow is a day for heavyweight UK politicians with lots of international relations experienced not jumped up ill educated oiks from down the pub..

Better for Farage to concentrate on the Heywood & Middleton where I expect UKIP to come second. Maybe if Farage made an effort to support the UKIP candidate they might win!

PS Tweet tonight from Isabel Hardman

In a press briefing after his speech, Farage conceded that the party wasn't going to win in Heywood. Post with that and other lines shortly

Wednesday 24 September 2014

I love England

I am a Scot. I do not hate the English, I love and admire them despite when I worked for HMG I had to put up with numerous snide remarks and bad jokes from the Oxbridge mandarins which if I had been black would have merited referral to the race relations board/tribunal or whatever.

I worked for 20 years in Liverpool, a melting pot of English, Welsh, Irish and Scots. On the bar wall of Waterloo football club which of course plays rugby there is a photgraph from just before the First World War of the first XV which included the capatains of all 4 home countries that year. It could not have happened in any other place.  Liverpool has two cathedrals built in the last 100 years and connected by Hope Street!

Liverpool has had a very bad deal from HMG littered even in the 1970s by WWII bomb damage. More memorable were the former merchant seaman who had crewed the ships that kept Britain supplied. I knew several who had been torpedoed and sunk not once but three times on the North Atlantic and a couple who had been on the Arctic convoys to Murmansk. The were incredible men who received no recognition from HMG. It might have been different if they had gone to Eton. Bomber command suffered the same fate. The memorial to their 50000+ dead is on Plymouth Hoe well out of London. They were just politically inconvenient fror Churchill after the war. At the end of the day he was just one more sordid politician who changed parties twice  - ask the Welsh miners.

The Mancs, Geordies, Yorkies and Brummies all have similar strong regional identies and have also had a poor deal from HMG post war. They deserve better and should be given a structure and powers the same as Scotland. they will run themselves far better than the Oxbridge elite we currently have. Money will stay in the region rather than being syphoned off to London.

London is currrently booming but so was Tesco five tears back. It has problems developing. The EU is clearly out to pinch a big chunk of its finanacial business and with the UK political eleite wedded to the EU they will meet little opposition to this money grab from Brussels. London also has a mega housing and immigration problem which will lead inevitably to civil unrest and destruction of property.

London is now like the American cities with fewer rich whites  in the centre as those who can, flee to the largely white suburbs.  This is not a problem in Scotland where I was impressed how well the Sikhs, Indians and Pakistanis had integrated and mixed into the community  It certainly is not a problem in Liverpool but is a problem in the English Midlands particularly in Leicester, Birmingham.the Souh Yorks Rotherham area and Rochdale in Lancashire.  I watched the clip of Sadeq Khan's Labour conference speech where he referred to the Rotheram abuse scandal but carefully avoided pointing out that most of these abusers were of Pakistani origin. This guy is the shadow justice secretary surely bad news if Labour win.

When in Scotland I was very struck by how well Pakistanis and Sikhs were integrated into the body politic. It is not the same in England where of course the problem is much bigger.

Giving more power to English regions is essential to help this integration. I hope it comes soon.

Monday 22 September 2014

Where did UKIP candidate John Bickley grow up?

This is John Bickley UKIP's candidate  in the Heywood & Middleton byelection.

JohnBickleyPortrait.jpeg


Michael Crick on Twitter today



  1. To avoid doubt or confusion in any future by-elections, maybe keen Ukip candidate John Bickley should tell us now all the places he grew up
  2. In June, when Bickley picked as Ukip cand for Weaver Vale, Cheshire, he was glad to stand for "local" seat as lived 20 years in Cuddington
  3. John Bickley, Ukip by-election cand, says he was raised on council est in Middleton. Yet in Feb Ukip said he grew up on a Wythenshawe estate


Oh Dear! What has Comrade Nuttall not been doing. It seems pretty easy to clear up just. publish Mr Bickley's CV.

Expect more of this in the run up to the General election. I hope other UKIP candidates' CVs are clean..

Saturday 20 September 2014

EU wins Scottish Referendum

I cry for my beloved country. The only winner is the EU hence Juncker & Barroso's delight at the result. It has solved the Catalan , Flemish and other nationalist problems for the EU at a stroke.. Step forward Cam, Milliband and Clegg to take the grateful thanks of their sacred EU. Charlemagne prize for the three amigos?

 Alex Salmond may have lost this battle and exhausted, resigned the leadership, but his cause will triumph within ten years. Farage can never do what Salmond did and deliver an in/out referendum to the people of the UK.

The campaign and its aftermath was a sickening display of LibLabCon opportunism. Hence Cameron's immediate post result attempt to shaft Labour by tying the promised new powers for Scotland to giving similar powers to Wales, Northern Ireland and England. How on earth does he propose to implement the latter? There is no English parliament to give such powers to.

The LibDems are and have been irrelevant for years. As the Mail on Sunday wrote on Clegg some months ago,

 “His wife is Spanish, his mother Dutch, his father half-Russian and his spin doctor German. Is there ANYTHING British about Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg?”


Labour/Milliband are desperately trying to kick the issue into the long grass with their propsed consult the people (How?) constitutional conference lasting years to allow Ed a decent time in Downing Street to wreck the economy.

It was horrible to see Labour gleefully  dancing to the Tories' tune. I quote from Owen Jones excellent piece in Wednesday's Daily Mail,

"Banks and other corporate giants warning that the roof will cave in; a near-hysterical media that leaves broad swaths of public opinion ignored – if the Labour leadership wants to know what to expect in the runup to next year’s election, they should regard the establishment campaign against Scottish independence as a foretaste of what is to come. But therein lies the problem, of course. Labour’s leaders have cheered on this campaign, and will be reminded of this fact at every opportunity when they complain of “scaremongering” when the same strategy is directed at them in the spring months of 2015."

Labour will pay a heavy price for this and their inevitable failure to deliver on the Daily Record pledge.

Vow: The promise to Scotland's voters was delivered on the front page of the left-wing Daily Record newspaper

Labour have sold the moral high ground for a mess of cheap newspaper shots.



So why did Salmond lose the vote? Darling ran a FUD campaign, Fear Uncertainty and Doubt. Negative and unpleasant and it is the favourite tool of Cameron's Aussie Crosby. Negative campaigning however works as has been shown in numerous elections round the world.

Salmond could have neutralised this but his preparation was not good enough. There are two main reasons  which better preparation could have reversed. I lean on Ashcrofts post election poll of 2000 voters on why No voters voted how they did.

click on link below

http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Lord-Ashcroft-Polls-Referendum-day-poll-summary-1409191.pdf

The pound/currency issue was cited by 57% of No voters as why they voted No. Nobody could stop an independent Scotlannd using the pound. The UK government extended this courtesy to the Irish for 50 years from 1927 until they entered the ERM. At the same time as the IRA were murdering UK soldiers! So Mr Darling why was it OK for the Irish but not the Scots?

There are few who understand how central banking works. Darling and Jonah Brown are not amongst them. Central bank's can create money to pay govenment debts in their own currency as the BoE is doing right now with its euphemistically entiled QE programme. But when there was a run on Northern Rock, the first such run on a UK bank for over 150 years it was HMT not the BoE that had to guarantee depositors cash and even then only up to £80k the previous limit had been a little known de facto £18k. So bank runs are very rare events and could have been avoided for Northern Rock by proper enforcement of banking regulations Rules that Jonah Brown waived  for his sordid political ends.

The second part of the answer concerns a countries' reserves. Scotland has a lot of oil on which tax revenues accrue. You can securitise this secure revenue stream as bonds which could be sold or used as collateral internationally. This would give easily £50 bn ample to back Scottish banks but with proper regukation enforcement it would not be needed.

So proper enforcement of bank rules plus securitisation of future oil tax revenues and problem solved.

Pensions were cited by 37% of No voters. Central government pensions are like government debt a charge on HMT. Private pensions are paid from returns on sterling denominated securities. Pension contributions would continue to be made in Sterling which Scotland would be using as a currency.

Trickier would be police and local authority pensions which are unfunded and are paid out of rates revenue. Scottish Police and bureaucrats would just be in the same boat as everyone else and paid in Salmond's sterling.

Defence and security was cited by 29%. Easy get rid of nuclear weapons as have the Nordic countries and the problem disappears.

I have not considered issues like the NHS or other issues which were rated nore important by Yes voters than No voters.

That covers the most important policy points but there were also tactical reasons Salmond lost

They did not get their vote out particularly in their strong areas. Glasgow and Dundee only had a 75% turnout compared with the average 84%.

Brown's last minute intervention promising loads of goodies needed an immediate attack on Brow who created the UK debt mountain and was a disastrous PM

It should have been pointed out how much the EU would lose in fishing rights if Scotland  was not allowed into the EU and that of course Scotland could join Norway in EFTA and us their trade deals.

Its all water under the bridge. On that day, 18th Sept 2014 Scotland was a sovereign nation. The pity is they chose to return power to the corrupt Westminster poilitical elite.

Nicola Sturgeon is an able, likeable woman. The cause will not die and Scotland will rise again. All Nicola has to do in the short term is to sit back and watch the 3 amigos fall out whilst the fourth horseman of the apocalypse, Jonah Brown drops them deeper in the mire.







Friday 12 September 2014

Scottish Opinion Polls & Labour MPs

I can think of nothing better for Alex S than pictures of 100 sordid, expenses grubbing Labour MPs going on mass to Scotland to beg the Scots to vote No. They are simply trying to save their own worthless skins and the Scots will see that.

The polls are interesting but seriously flawed. People who took their name off the electoral register in Scotland because of Thatcher's poll tax are now putting their names back on the register but they won't be on the list of electors supplied to the pollsters. Guess which way they will vote, not for the Nos I opine.

The pollsters hence have a biased sample which will underestimate the Yes vote.

Anyway I am of to Scotland to participate in the big rammy as A Neil would say so probably no blogging for a while.

Vote Farage for Thannet!                      

Thursday 11 September 2014

I largely agree with Nigel Farage on the Scottish Referendum

It is a matter of sadness for me that Farage arranged for me and others to be banned from UKIP by the cabal for reasons of personal spite. I have never had any policy differences with Nigel Farage and agree with much of his piece in today's DT.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11087302/Scots-wont-get-independence-from-a-Yes-vote.html

His main point that leading Scotland out of the UK only to join the EU is illogical. I agree as I know does Del Young who has put this point to me many times.

Farage's understanding of the role of a central bank is a somewhat naive commonly held view. In the last banking crisis it was the UK government that had to guarantee UK bank deposits not the BoE. The BoE is in fact a very small bank compared with commercial banks. Its power lies in its ability to supply liquidity at the short end of the market, less than 14 days and hence help banks balance their books on the central banks balance sheet. Unlike other central banks eg the Bundesbank it does not hold the countries reserves on its balance sheet. It manages them but ownership is vested in HMT hence the lender of last resort goes to HMG.

It is also not as 'independent' as the Bundesbank or the Fed. The BoE has a very political appointee, Carney as governor who seems very much under the thumb of HMT.

Alex Salmond is quite right to assert Scotland owns part of the BoE balance sheet so there is no problem there. The size of the Scottish banking sector vis a vis the Scottish economy was only a problem because Jonah Brown waived the competetion  rules for political reasons to let Lloyds take over HBOS anddiscouraged scrutiny of RBS. If banking rules are properly applied there will be no problem.

As AS pointed out Lloyds is already registered in London. If the rUK did not ensure tax from both banks was paid fairly in Scotland as well as England then the EU would have carte blanche to takeover the City and Amazon and the like would have a field day.

As for BP what happens in Scotland will be small potatoes to what is currrently happening to them in US courts. The reason is the same, failure to apply correct safety rules.

In the UK rules have been too easily bent and waived. It has led many of our problems in recent years. Alex Salmond will clean that up in Scotland if he is given the chance.

Wednesday 10 September 2014

Tories & Labour make Clegg type promises to the Scots

Take a look at today's Daily Politics to see two politicians caught in the headlights without a pair of briefs between them.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-29144786

Emma Reynolds is an obvious Labour air head who repeated her irrelevnt notes to every question from A Neil as did Tory boy Stephen Crabbe.

How much of Scottish oil tax revenue will you be giving to the Scottish government under your hastily cobbled together devo max proposals was AN's question. Both poiliticos come from the modern Tony Blair school of politics and think if you talk long enough and wave your hands about eventually the interviewer will run out of time and/or forget his question. Given all the manure heaped on the Scot Nats for not spelling out their plan B on currency this hopeless pair could not spell out their plan A on oil tax!

Devo Max was a panic measured hastily cobbled together which is now coming apart at the seams within 12 hours. Alec S is winning this battle hands down.

Cameron was talking to a carefully selected audience from the SWIP a disastrous Llyods bank acquisition waved through by Jonah Brown.

Clegg was somehere in the Scottish borderd where sheep outnumber people 100 to 1,

Nobody in Scotland believes a word they say, As I write Milliband has not yet surfaced.

Asked for one word to describe the three amigos a pannel came up with:

Clegg - liar
Cameron - posh
Milliband - weird

Just the guys you need to gift it to Alec. Click to see Alec's comments

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-29142134

Killer final line the three numpties are ther to try and save their jobs not save our country.

Tuesday 9 September 2014

Panic grips Westminster political elite

I can never remember PMQs being cancelled as Dave and Ed have done today. Alex Salmond has got them on the run and the spin men are all running round like Corporal Jones shoting don't panic but that's exactly what they are doing.

Whatever the outcome this referendum campaign has broken the power of the Westminster elite which is a great result for all of us who did not go to public school or are not members of the North London Jewish intellectual elite.

Its a huge mistake for Cam/Clegg/Millipede to go to Scotland. They are all very unpopular there and provides Alex Salmond with a heaven sent opportunity to play the people versus Westminster card which he will do very well. It is now apparent to all, even the Major, that Alex S is the ablest politician currently operating in the UK.

The currency argument has spectactularly backfired on Darling. When the Irish left in 1922 the residual UK did not collapse and nor did de Valera ask permission from the BoE to use the pound. Ninety years later Eire is still there and prospering.

Will Cam resign? No! Who can her Maj send for instead? That's why George III refused to accept Lord North's resignation in 1774 after the loss of the American colonies. Lord North wiled away his time that summer near to us at Dillington whilst the American colonies were lost. A bit like Cam/Clegg and Milliband this summer in London and Portugal. Plus ca change plus c'est la meme chose as the French say.

I hope the N|ats have plenty of eggs left over from Murphy, the idiot who put the Lisbon Treay through parliament, to chuck at Cam/Clegg and Millband plus Jonah Brown. They have all betrayed our country to the EU. That is why the SNP are doing so well just as UKIP's succeeded in the May Europeans. People are sick of the self serving political elite. Alex can capitalise on a protest vote if Farage can.

Vote Farage in South Thannet!

Monday 8 September 2014

UKIP leadership election

Can anyone post when Farage's term as leader expires triggering a new leadership election?

I quote from UKIP's constitution:

7.4  The Leader's term of office shall run for four years. This term may be extended for such time as may be deemed necessary upon the NEC passing a motion by a two-thirds majority to enable the Leader to stay in post in order to fight an imminent General Election or European Election,


As far as I can see Farage was elected on 5th November (wow, the day the last honest man entered parliament!) 2010 following his stooge Pearson's resignation on 17th August 2010. The interegnum was filled by one J Titford an NEC/Farage nominee.

Question, how imminent is 5th May 2015?

I have not looked at the UKIP constitution for many years. The phrase that any member wanting to stand for anything must be "in good standing in the party" now occurs very frequently. Previously I can only recall one occurence of that phrase in the UKIP constitution.

Question, who determines whether a member is in good standing? 

Easiest to answer in the negative, anyone Nigel does not like is not in good standing in the party a decision that will be endorsed by his NEC placemen ie a unanimous NEC decision.

I am reliably informed the forthcoming UKIP leadership election is likely before the Clacton by-election of 9th October so there can be no confusion as to who the cult leader is on that date.


Vote Farage in South Thanet in May 2015!

PS I just read to the bottom of the leadership election section of the UKIP constitution where it now states, "Those eligible to vote shall be members “in good standing”'. So if you are not approved of you won't get a vote just like in China.

There is an attempt to define good standing as

4.1.2  Members are considered to be in "good standing" if at any given moment:

a)    their subscriptions are up to date; and 
b)    they are not subject to any suspension or exclusion by the Party either from elected office or from standing as a candidate of any sort in any election; and
c)    they are not subject to any form of suspension or restriction as to their membership of  the Party.

Ho hum, all very vague. Many are restricted but by whom? Who restricts the restrictors?

Wednesday 3 September 2014

British born Jihadis are EU citizens

This simple fact escaped our elected representatives at today's PMQs, my old colleague Matthew Hancock and Labour's shadow law oficer Emily Thornberry. It fell to the BBC's deputy political editor and Old Etonian James Lansdale to point out this uncomfortable fact just begore the end of A Neil's Daily Politics. It is therefore not within the power of the UK parliament or government to ban returning jihadis from the UK. They will simply go to the EHCR at our expense for such a UK government action to be struck down leaving Cam etc with egg all over their Bullingdon penguin suits.

Our elected representatives gave away the power to control our borders many years ago to the EU. As Maxwell Fyfe, MacMillan's attorney general said in 1962 signing the Treaty of Rome would reduce the UK parliament to that of a parish council. Cameron and his fellow travellers can produce as much hot air as they like on this topic but they cannot change this legal reality that he and his kind have consigned our country to being a peripheral province of the EU superstate.


Tuesday 2 September 2014

Clacton by-election on 9th Oct

If Carswell wins big it makes Farage's off shore anti-EU position less stable. Good! UKIP deserves aleader who is based in London not Brussels. Carswell is a far more able and decent man than Farage. It could be mould breaking and Cabal terminating.

Monday 1 September 2014

Ashya King & European Arrest Warrant

The case of this sick child being exploited by the Deputy Chief plod to polish his media presence was quite sickening. According to Cur Graeme Watson former, thank God, MEP who pushed the EAW as necessary to combat international crooks eg drug dealers. The police of course given such powers immediately abuse and misuse them. Remember the octogenarian threatened with prosecution under similarly half baked anti terrorist by our wonderful police who turned a blind eye to industrial scale child sex abuse in Rotheram by Pakistanis for fear of being accused of racism.

Ashya King's parents are a soft easy target for plod guaranteeing good national TV coverage, or so they thought until the Hampshire man shot himself in both his size 12s.

Handing more carte blanche powers to the police to misuse and abuse is a huge and oft repeated mistake. It gives the impression of activity and achieves nothing. The newly elected Police Commisioners were supposed to control this but the problem is that they were mainly third rate ex-party hacks. That could be changed by banning party endorsements for these posts but that has obvious enforcement difficulties.

My  view is that police should be made more accountable and their decisions open to court challenge. We don't have the best police in the world by standards of efficiency and impartiality. Just as the BBC is now seen to be overpaid and biased so are the police.